NFL Predictions Today
Game-level NFL predictions for today's slate: which team QB1's model favors, how likely that outcome is, and the fair spread implied by 10,000 simulated trials. For the market side of the same games — implied probability, Winning Edge and line movement — see today's prediction-market analysis.
Today's Games
No NFL games kick off today. QB1 does not manufacture a slate to fill the page — the next scheduled games are below.
Next Up
Las Vegas Raiders at Houston Texans
Thu, Aug 20 · 8:00 PM ET
- QB1 PICK
- HOU
- WIN PROB
- 78.6%
- FAIR SPREAD
- HOU -11.7
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Chargers
Thu, Aug 20 · 10:00 PM ET
- QB1 PICK
- LAC
- WIN PROB
- 52.3%
- FAIR SPREAD
- LAC -0.7
New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers
Fri, Aug 21 · 7:00 PM ET
- QB1 PICK
- PIT
- WIN PROB
- 69.8%
- FAIR SPREAD
- PIT -7.9
Carolina Panthers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Fri, Aug 21 · 7:30 PM ET
- QB1 PICK
- JAX
- WIN PROB
- 66.8%
- FAIR SPREAD
- JAX -7.8
Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos
Fri, Aug 21 · 9:00 PM ET
- QB1 PICK
- DEN
- WIN PROB
- 68.0%
- FAIR SPREAD
- DEN -6.7
Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions
Sat, Aug 22 · 12:00 PM ET
- QB1 PICK
- DET
- WIN PROB
- 62.7%
- FAIR SPREAD
- DET -4.9
How to Read These Numbers
Win probability is QB1's independent estimate, not a market price. A 62% favorite loses roughly two games in five, so a single result never validates or invalidates a model. Read the methodology for how ratings and simulations are built, or check the graded track record for how past predictions actually finished.