Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans Prediction
2026 WEEK 1 · Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
UPDATED Aug 17, 8:20 PM ET
18EDGE
PASS
QB1 WINNING EDGE SCORE
HOU is the more likely winner at 53.0%.
The score measures how far market pricing sits from QB1's probability — a high number means value, not certainty.
QB1 model projection
- BUF WIN PROB
- 47.0%
- HOU WIN PROB
- 53.0%
- FAIR SPREAD
- HOU -0.9
- FAIR TOTAL
- 44.5
- PROJECTED SCORE
- BUF 21.8 — HOU 22.8
- CONFIDENCE
- low
MODEL v1.0-production · DATA CONFIDENCE 55
Market comparison
- MARKET SPREAD
- HOU +1.5
- MARKET TOTAL
- 44.5
- BUF MONEYLINE
- -120
- HOU MONEYLINE
- +100
Team power ratings
- BUF ELO
- 1596
- HOU ELO
- 1596
Track this matchup in prediction markets
QB1 members see calibrated market probability, entry price zones, edge decay and BUY / WAIT / AVOID guidance for NFL prediction markets.
OPEN QB1 →