Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction
2026 WEEK 1 · Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
UPDATED Aug 17, 8:20 PM ET
2EDGE
PASS
QB1 WINNING EDGE SCORE
JAX is the more likely winner at 69.1%.
The score measures how far market pricing sits from QB1's probability — a high number means value, not certainty.
QB1 model projection
- CLE WIN PROB
- 30.9%
- JAX WIN PROB
- 69.1%
- FAIR SPREAD
- JAX -7.6
- FAIR TOTAL
- 40.5
- PROJECTED SCORE
- CLE 16.7 — JAX 24.1
- CONFIDENCE
- low
MODEL v1.0-production · DATA CONFIDENCE 55
Market comparison
- MARKET SPREAD
- JAX -7.5
- MARKET TOTAL
- 40.5
- CLE MONEYLINE
- +295
- JAX MONEYLINE
- -375
Team power ratings
- CLE ELO
- 1441
- JAX ELO
- 1590
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