Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction
2026 WEEK 1 · Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
UPDATED Aug 17, 8:20 PM ET
3EDGE
PASS
QB1 WINNING EDGE SCORE
PHI is the more likely winner at 63.2%.
The score measures how far market pricing sits from QB1's probability — a high number means value, not certainty.
QB1 model projection
- WAS WIN PROB
- 36.8%
- PHI WIN PROB
- 63.2%
- FAIR SPREAD
- PHI -4.6
- FAIR TOTAL
- 46.8
- PROJECTED SCORE
- WAS 21.1 — PHI 25.9
- CONFIDENCE
- low
MODEL v1.0-production · DATA CONFIDENCE 55
Market comparison
- MARKET SPREAD
- PHI -4.5
- MARKET TOTAL
- 46.5
- WAS MONEYLINE
- +176
- PHI MONEYLINE
- -230
Team power ratings
- WAS ELO
- 1435
- PHI ELO
- 1502
Head-to-head history
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