Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction

2026 WEEK 1 · Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET

UPDATED Aug 17, 8:20 PM ET
19EDGE
PASS

QB1 WINNING EDGE SCORE

LV is the more likely winner at 53.5%.

The score measures how far market pricing sits from QB1's probability — a high number means value, not certainty.

QB1 model projection

MIA WIN PROB
46.5%
LV WIN PROB
53.5%
FAIR SPREAD
LV -1.6
FAIR TOTAL
40.4
PROJECTED SCORE
MIA 19.5 — LV 21.1
CONFIDENCE
low

MODEL v1.0-production · DATA CONFIDENCE 55

Market comparison

MARKET SPREAD
LV -3.5
MARKET TOTAL
40.5
MIA MONEYLINE
+162
LV MONEYLINE
-210

Team power ratings

MIA ELO
1447
LV ELO
1349

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