Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction
2026 WEEK 1 · Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
UPDATED Aug 17, 8:20 PM ET
0EDGE
PASS
QB1 WINNING EDGE SCORE
PIT is the more likely winner at 58.2%.
The score measures how far market pricing sits from QB1's probability — a high number means value, not certainty.
QB1 model projection
- ATL WIN PROB
- 41.8%
- PIT WIN PROB
- 58.2%
- FAIR SPREAD
- PIT -3.0
- FAIR TOTAL
- 42.2
- PROJECTED SCORE
- ATL 19.8 — PIT 22.7
- CONFIDENCE
- low
MODEL v1.0-production · DATA CONFIDENCE 55
Market comparison
- MARKET SPREAD
- PIT -3
- MARKET TOTAL
- 41.5
- ATL MONEYLINE
- +150
- PIT MONEYLINE
- -180
Team power ratings
- ATL ELO
- 1477
- PIT ELO
- 1508
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