New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction
2026 WEEK 1 · Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
UPDATED Aug 17, 8:20 PM ET
9EDGE
PASS
QB1 WINNING EDGE SCORE
SEA is the more likely winner at 60.8%.
The score measures how far market pricing sits from QB1's probability — a high number means value, not certainty.
QB1 model projection
- NE WIN PROB
- 39.2%
- SEA WIN PROB
- 60.8%
- FAIR SPREAD
- SEA -3.9
- FAIR TOTAL
- 44.1
- PROJECTED SCORE
- NE 20.3 — SEA 24.4
- CONFIDENCE
- low
MODEL v1.0-production · DATA CONFIDENCE 55
Market comparison
- MARKET SPREAD
- SEA -3.5
- MARKET TOTAL
- 44.5
- NE MONEYLINE
- +160
- SEA MONEYLINE
- -192
Team power ratings
- NE ELO
- 1627
- SEA ELO
- 1689
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