New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions Prediction
2026 WEEK 1 · Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
UPDATED Aug 17, 8:20 PM ET
10EDGE
PASS
QB1 WINNING EDGE SCORE
DET is the more likely winner at 67.0%.
The score measures how far market pricing sits from QB1's probability — a high number means value, not certainty.
QB1 model projection
- NO WIN PROB
- 33.0%
- DET WIN PROB
- 67.0%
- FAIR SPREAD
- DET -6.0
- FAIR TOTAL
- 49.1
- PROJECTED SCORE
- NO 21.6 — DET 27.6
- CONFIDENCE
- low
MODEL v1.0-production · DATA CONFIDENCE 55
Market comparison
- MARKET SPREAD
- DET -7
- MARKET TOTAL
- 49.5
- NO MONEYLINE
- +265
- DET MONEYLINE
- -330
Team power ratings
- NO ELO
- 1451
- DET ELO
- 1511
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