Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction
2026 WEEK 2 · Sun, Sep 20 · 4:25 PM ET
UPDATED Aug 16, 3:35 PM ET
5EDGE
PASS
QB1 WINNING EDGE SCORE
DAL is the more likely winner at 61.8%.
The score measures how far market pricing sits from QB1's probability — a high number means value, not certainty.
QB1 model projection
- WAS WIN PROB
- 38.3%
- DAL WIN PROB
- 61.8%
- FAIR SPREAD
- DAL -4.0
- FAIR TOTAL
- 51.5
- PROJECTED SCORE
- WAS 23.7 — DAL 27.7
- CONFIDENCE
- low
MODEL v1.0-production · DATA CONFIDENCE 55
Market comparison
- MARKET SPREAD
- DAL -4.5
- MARKET TOTAL
- 51.5
- WAS MONEYLINE
- +170
- DAL MONEYLINE
- -205
Team power ratings
- WAS ELO
- 1435
- DAL ELO
- 1465
Head-to-head history
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