Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos Prediction
2026 WEEK 2 · Sun, Sep 20 · 4:05 PM ET
UPDATED Aug 16, 3:35 PM ET
1EDGE
PASS
QB1 WINNING EDGE SCORE
DEN is the more likely winner at 58.1%.
The score measures how far market pricing sits from QB1's probability — a high number means value, not certainty.
QB1 model projection
- JAX WIN PROB
- 41.9%
- DEN WIN PROB
- 58.1%
- FAIR SPREAD
- DEN -2.6
- FAIR TOTAL
- 43.5
- PROJECTED SCORE
- JAX 20.5 — DEN 23.3
- CONFIDENCE
- low
MODEL v1.0-production · DATA CONFIDENCE 55
Market comparison
- MARKET SPREAD
- DEN -2.5
- MARKET TOTAL
- 43.5
- JAX MONEYLINE
- +120
- DEN MONEYLINE
- -142
Team power ratings
- JAX ELO
- 1590
- DEN ELO
- 1615
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