Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills Prediction
2026 WEEK 2 · Thu, Sep 17 · 8:15 PM ET
UPDATED Aug 17, 8:20 PM ET
17EDGE
PASS
QB1 WINNING EDGE SCORE
BUF is the more likely winner at 60.8%.
The score measures how far market pricing sits from QB1's probability — a high number means value, not certainty.
QB1 model projection
- DET WIN PROB
- 39.3%
- BUF WIN PROB
- 60.8%
- FAIR SPREAD
- BUF -3.8
- FAIR TOTAL
- 52.0
- PROJECTED SCORE
- DET 24.3 — BUF 28.3
- CONFIDENCE
- low
MODEL v1.0-production · DATA CONFIDENCE 55
Market comparison
- MARKET SPREAD
- BUF -3
- MARKET TOTAL
- 52.5
- DET MONEYLINE
- +133
- BUF MONEYLINE
- -165
Team power ratings
- DET ELO
- 1511
- BUF ELO
- 1596
Track this matchup in prediction markets
QB1 members see calibrated market probability, entry price zones, edge decay and BUY / WAIT / AVOID guidance for NFL prediction markets.
OPEN QB1 →