Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots Prediction
2026 WEEK 2 · Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET
UPDATED Aug 16, 3:35 PM ET
23EDGE
PASS
QB1 WINNING EDGE SCORE
NE is the more likely winner at 65.7%.
The score measures how far market pricing sits from QB1's probability — a high number means value, not certainty.
QB1 model projection
- PIT WIN PROB
- 34.3%
- NE WIN PROB
- 65.7%
- FAIR SPREAD
- NE -5.2
- FAIR TOTAL
- 43.5
- PROJECTED SCORE
- PIT 19.1 — NE 24.4
- CONFIDENCE
- low
MODEL v1.0-production · DATA CONFIDENCE 55
Market comparison
- MARKET SPREAD
- NE -4.5
- MARKET TOTAL
- 43.5
- PIT MONEYLINE
- +185
- NE MONEYLINE
- -225
Team power ratings
- PIT ELO
- 1508
- NE ELO
- 1627
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