New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Prediction
2026 WEEK 4 · Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
AWAITING FIRST MODEL RUN
QB1 has not published a simulation for this matchup yet. Probabilities appear once the weekly model run completes.
QB1 model projection
- NE WIN PROB
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- BUF WIN PROB
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- FAIR SPREAD
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- FAIR TOTAL
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- PROJECTED SCORE
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- CONFIDENCE
- —
MODEL —
Market comparison
- MARKET SPREAD
- BUF -3
- MARKET TOTAL
- 49.5
- NE MONEYLINE
- +140
- BUF MONEYLINE
- -166
Team power ratings
- NE ELO
- 1627
- BUF ELO
- 1596
Head-to-head history
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